Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 1.636565 1.868495 2.123102 2.423591 2.768875 3.153607 3.615361
2025-09-07 1.350251 1.665360 2.039958 2.519141 3.117382 3.841652 4.788128
2025-09-14 1.127559 1.483902 1.936925 2.557440 3.389031 4.470281 5.991420
2025-09-21 0.943731 1.313210 1.810913 2.534289 3.565565 4.993070 7.136534
2025-09-28 0.784057 1.145218 1.656873 2.440206 3.619437 5.344706 8.089968
2025-10-05 0.716699 1.094619 1.655515 2.556645 3.983769 6.182765 9.878067
2025-10-12 0.662051 1.053043 1.658470 2.675030 4.361763 7.088100 11.907466
2025-10-19 0.604231 0.997158 1.629505 2.734943 4.649224 7.882594 13.872198
2025-10-26 0.552228 0.942848 1.594288 2.776494 4.906772 8.655988 15.913006
2025-11-02 0.489627 0.862069 1.503575 2.708016 4.958534 9.071214 17.359606
2025-11-09 0.425602 0.770616 1.382634 2.568009 4.857846 9.189762 18.251558
2025-11-16 0.386185 0.718620 1.325544 2.537463 4.956453 9.691617 19.969240
2025-11-23 0.347505 0.664753 1.261075 2.489272 5.023797 10.161073 21.741082
2025-11-30 0.331453 0.652290 1.273705 2.595137 5.417687 11.349441 25.257296
2025-12-07 0.309949 0.626436 1.256949 2.638752 5.688070 12.320061 28.463857
2025-12-14 0.284238 0.588924 1.212118 2.616990 5.813614 12.994281 31.104238
2025-12-21 0.254675 0.539898 1.137633 2.520796 5.758728 13.254132 32.793656
2025-12-28 0.246832 0.536351 1.159217 2.641880 6.221396 14.782912 37.922103
2026-01-04 0.239451 0.532887 1.180426 2.764743 6.706211 16.439177 43.691363
2026-01-11 0.228011 0.518910 1.176336 2.826947 7.051208 17.802027 48.931061
2026-01-18 0.216190 0.502668 1.165081 2.870063 7.354138 19.103820 54.249571
2026-01-25 0.198216 0.469876 1.111135 2.799221 7.350106 19.595226 57.325503
2026-02-01 0.177656 0.428615 1.032262 2.654308 7.127276 19.458802 58.505341